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How To Profit From The Spike In Natural Gas Prices During The Winter

To Profit From The Spike In Natural Gas Prices During The Winter, Play The Averages

Natural Gas TradingIf you are trying to make money in the stock market, you need to understand how to profit from the spike in natural gas prices during the winter season. Natural gas is one of the most volatile commodities that trades in the futures markets. Traders can take advantage of natural gas’ volatility and seasonal price swings to make money on both the long and short side, as natural gas spikes upward going into the winter and then falls in price once winter is over and warm weather arrives.

Those seeking to make money in the stock market can put the volatility in the natural gas markets to work for them by buying Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that are valued based on the price of natural gas futures. Both long and short natural gas tracking Exchange Traded Funds are available, including leveraged Exchange Traded Funds that allow a trader to maximize a long or short natural gas trading position in anticipation in a move in natural gas prices either higher or lower.

Understanding The Spike In Natural Gas Prices During The Winter

What is really intriguing about trading natural gas Exchange Traded Funds is that natural gas prices tend to follow a season trading pattern, which makes it relatively easy to pick buy and sell levels to profit from seasonal fluctuations in natural gas prices. While the seasonal natural gas trade does not always work out as expected, since there are so many variables that affect natural gas prices, the averages are in the favor of natural gas traders that buy and sell natural gas Exchange Traded Funds t certain times of the year following established seasonal trading patterns. This means that a trader’s chances of profiting from the natural gas trade are much better than just guessing which direction natural gas will trade in over the next few months.

The following is an example of the typical seasonal pattern of natural gas prices follow during a typical winter season and how to trade the natural gas price spike that normally occurs during a typical winter.
Natural Gas Profits

There is a distinct pattern to natural gas prices when cold air arrives as expected in November and natural gas storage injections turn into storage withdraws, as demand for natural gas for heating picks up.   Natural gas will typically trend downward during the early part of the fall season, as storage injections continue because the air over most of the United States is not yet cold to cause a surge in heating demand for natural gas. Sometime in November, usually during the first half of the month, the weather turns cold enough in the United States to cause an uptick in heating demand.   At this point, natural gas starts its long winter withdraw season and the price of natural gas typically responds by stabilizing and eventually moving higher. To successfully trade the winter spike in natural gas prices, it is important to build a long position in natural gas as the price bottoms during the fall.

If the weather turns colder than usual in November and natural gas supplies are tight, the price move higher in natural gas can be fast and substantial. Further moves higher in the price of natural gas during the late fall and winter season depend upon how cold the late fall and winter winds up being. Of course, if winter is delayed and the cold air does not arrive as expected, natural gas can remain flat or fall in price, as demand for heating is less than anticipated.

Long Natural Gas ETFs To Trade The Winter Spike In Natural Gas Prices

VelocitySharesIf you are looking to go long natural gas to take advantage of the winter price spike, the following natural gas Exchange Traded Funds can be purchased to obtain long exposure to natural gas futures, in anticipation of an increase in natural gas prices during the winter heating season.

  • 1X Natural Gas Long ETF (least risky): The United States Natural Gas (NYSE: UNG) provides the most conservative way to play natural gas on the long side, since it is designed to increase on a one to one basis (1X) in conjunction with natural gas futures contracts.
  • 2X Natural Gas Long ETF (somewhat risky): The ProShares Ultra DJ-UBS Natural Gas (NYSE: BOIL) is an ETF that provides a way to hold a long position in natural gas that increases at approximately two times (2X) the value of natural gas futures contracts.
  • 3X Natural Gas Long ETF (most risky): The VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN (NYSE: UGAZ) is the most risky of the three long natural gas ETFs included in this article, and also potentially the most profitable. While it is designed to return three times (3X) the daily performance of natural gas futures contracts, its three times (3X) leverage makes it risky if natural gas futures unexpectedly go down during the winter.

Short Natural Gas ETFs To Trade at The End of The Winter Drop In Natural Gas Prices

Once the coldest of the winter weather has passed, it is time to start considering building a position in natural gas on the short side. The warmer weather coming out of winter often leads to a sell-off in natural gas futures, which causes inverse natural gas Exchange Traded Funds to increase in price. The full effect of the seasonal sell-off in natural gas futures and most dramatic increase in natural gas short Exchange Traded Funds is often felt later in the summer and early in the fall, as natural gas supplies are rebuilt.

  • 2X Natural Gas Short ETF (somewhat risky): The ProShares UltraShort DJ-UBS Natural Gas Fund (NYSE: KOLD) is an ETF that provides short exposure to natural gas futures at an approximately two times (2X) rate.       When natural gas futures drop in price, KOLD is designed to increase by double the percentage drop in the near-term futures contracts.
  • 3X Natural Gas Short ETF (most risky): The VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN (NYSE: DGAZ) is an ETF that provides the most aggressive and risky way to play natural gas futures on the short side. DGAZ is designed to change in value by three times (3X) the daily performance of natural gas futures contracts.

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BMO Capital Markets Predict Precious Metals to Weaken in 2015

BMO Capital Markets Predict Precious Metals to Weaken in 2015.

gold bearInvestors will be bearish towards gold, silver, and platinum in 2015 because of a stronger greenback and with nickel and aluminum finding a strong support based on fundamental issues.

BMO had lowered its expectations for silver from $1,275 per ounce, to $1,190 an ounce. It also reduced its forecast for silver from $20.25 to $17.50 per ounce.

Natixis Commodities Research mirrors BMO’s new price predictions for gold as it released its own commodities price forecast. According to the risk management services firm, gold will be at $1,170 per ounce in 2015, and slightly increasing to $1,180 in 2016.

Natixis expects that the gradual outflows for gold-backed ETPs will persist until 2015. They don’t anticipate sharp outflows anytime soon since according to their data, most investors have already exited their positions since last year.

Apart from a stronger dollar, BMO said that the basis for their new price forecast is due to the recent downtrend of gold and silver prices. Like Natixis, BMO doesn’t also expect both precious yellow and white metals to increase in prices until the 2nd quarter of 2016 based on predictions for the U.S. dollar.

BMO believes that when treasury yields swing around the negative territory, gold price shocks occur. The good thing about this is that the real rates are now positive so gold may not decline sharply anymore based on the current relationship.

Natixis bases their forecasts on the fact that central banks didn’t purchase a lot of gold for this year. The reason for this is because most central banks who planned on diversifying with gold have already reached their goal. In an article by BullionVault, it was discussed that Russia and Switzerland are two countries that are still actively buying gold this year. Andrey Yurin, director of Moscow’s precious metals repository “Gokhran,” said that the country will buy palladium in 2015 after focusing on buying gold this year. The Swiss National Bank, on the other hand, is faced with a popular vote of buying precious metal reserves in order to return the Franc to a gold-backed currency.


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Are Coal Stocks Coming Back?

Coal stocks have in recent years been on a steady decline due to more environmentally conscious investors and bigger firms pulling funding out of fossil fuels for more greener alternatives which have been gaining popularity. Coal producers have had their own issues when it comes to increasing the value of their stocks, for which the market has suffered with as well. For the last couple of years coal stocks have been slipping on the Dow Jones and many are starting to wonder if its time that coal stocks coming back?

The Issues with Coalcoal stocks

Past administrations have been more kind towards coal unlike the current one in power. In fact no other presidential administration has been so hostile towards the coal industry in history. As alternative fuels have become the vanguard for the future fueling of the nation, coal as an fuel for energy has taken on a dirty reputation. Many associate this dirty reputation as having to do with a war on coal which has allowed the producers of coal and coal based energy to struggle on the market. In recent years some of the damaging effects to the coal industry has also been self inflicted as companies and producers sought to end the negative outlook on the industry as a whole, while trying to take advantage of . The coal market peaked just before the 2008 financial crisis driven mostly by the high demand for coal used in the production of metals with a focus on steel. U.S. companies that were better known for producing coal for energy began searching for the in high demand metallurgical coal in hopes of boosting profits. The biggest reason for the shift in focus was to be a part of the desire and demand for steel production which was going into China to help with the updating and modernization projects being funded by the Chinese government within China and throughout the rest of the developing world.

Bad Investments and New Sources of Energy

In 2011 many of the world’s top coal producing companies bought out competitors in an effort to build a longstanding base from which business could be conducted globally and stabilize the availability of future profits. Peabody Energy which was the world’s largest private sector coal company purchased Macarthur Coal in Australia for 5.1 billion dollars in 2011. During the same year, America’s third largest supplier of coal purchased Massey Energy for 7.1 billion dollars and Arch Coal acquired International Coal Group for 3.4 billion dollars. The acquisition of International Coal Group made Arch Coal the nation’s fourth biggest metallurgical coal producer. Unfortunately for these companies, they purchased their competitors at the height of the market, so when the market dropped the companies took on massive amounts of debt due to the finance deals made. The situation tuned worse when the developmental projects for renovation  and modernization in and by China began to slow. These newly made investment began to backfire on those who were becoming ever increasingly dependent on metallurgical coal. Sluggish markets and a boom in the shale and natural gas markets became much more attractive energy supplements to the former powerhouse that was coal produced energy making coal stocks relatively low in value.

Is Coal Gaining Ground?coal stocks 2

In the wake of bad investments and other sources of fuel to provide energy, some industry and market analysts feel that we are on the frontlines of coal stocks that could be making a comeback. Stocks like Westmoreland Coal and Hallador Energy have been able to keep their bottom lines above water. The biggest reason is unlike their counterparts in the coal industry, they hadn’t invested so heavily into the metallurgical coal like many of their peers did. Industry experts agree that there will be a turnaround and coal stocks will eventually rise again, but like most investments…timing is everything. Many agree that the great days for the coal industry are passed but concede that there is still a future for coal based energy. The measure of success will be played out by the investments and lobbying made by those currently still in the coal game, and which companies live on and which fold into the fray. Even though the U.S. government is looking for cleaner and more efficient ways to fuel its growth, coal is a commodity that has the future of its success built on the world stage. Should the coal producing companies look worldwide at the best ways to invest their time and money, the industry will be able to survive well into the next generation of green fuel providers.

The coal industry saw metallurgical coal production to be the key to success with modernization programs abroad, so too can it be seen with rising nations looking to modernize as well. Coal is abundant and relatively cheap when in comparison to other forms of fuels for energy. The future of the coal industry is set on the global economic world stage, and as the global economy starts to level off, the stocks concerning coal producers will also see a rise in overall value. The death of coal isn’t as certain as many would like to think, since 40 percent of the U.S.’s energy is still based on coal, and industry which still employs U.S. workers. Coal stocks might be getting ready to reel in profits again and would be worthy looking into.


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U.S. Gasoline Prices May Decrease

U.S. gasoline prices might decrease over the next couple of years due to a boost in domestic oil production. Over the past two years, oil produced in the U.S. has picked up more so than in recent years and may be causing an oversupply of crude oil. For consumers a lower price per barrel will eventually lower prices at the pump giving the American drivers a bit of a break on energy costs. So why is this happening?

Boosting Domestic Oil Productiongasoline

Domestic oil production started to fall in the mid 1980’s and stayed that way for almost two decades. Due to the lull in domestic production, the U.S. became ever more dependent on foreign oil producing nations to supply and feed to growing demand for crude oil. However, since 2008 more of the U.S. oil drilling companies and refineries have stepped up oil production. As early as 2012 the first real spike in domestic oil production occurred producing an over abundance of crude oil has begun to stockpile on America’s Gulf Coast. Many consumers have not yet felt the presence of an oversupply of crude oil and that is primarily due the fact that prices in the U.S. are largely dictated by speculation. For the last twenty years the American gas prices have been inflated due to the understanding of an increasingly high demand for energy and the understanding of a shortage of crude oil. However, U.S. oil refineries are operating currently at full capacity with the price of oil at $100 dollars per barrel. This equates out to the national average per gallon of regular gas at just about $3.68.

Over the past two years the cost of gasoline per gallon has fluctuated between $3.70 and $3.30. It has become ever more increasingly difficult to gauge or predict how oil prices will go, either up or down. Many experts are in constant debate about the future cost of oil due to subsiding demands, overages and shortages, as well as the new techniques being used to produce more oil. What is certain, is that there is new theories by top leading experts about the oversupply of crude oil in the U.S. Even Citibank’s top analyst for oil believes that by the end of 2015, the U.S. will see a drop in the cost per barrel of crude oil, said to drop from $100 per barrel to as low as $75 per barrel. The drop in cost per barrel, according to the Citibank analyst believes that the price to be reflected to consumers at the pump would level off at about $3.00 per gallon, if there was even a $10 swing should price per barrel drop to $85 per barrel.

gasoline 2Why is there a Surplus?

Other than the already stated boost in domestic production, U.S. consumers are buying less gas. The economy has yet to see or feel much recovery nationwide. That being said, the renovation by car manufactures in fuel consumption and U.S. consumers shifting gears by buying more fuel sipping cars has all contributed to a lower U.S. demand for gasoline. International factors are also playing a significant role in the demand for oil worldwide. The U.S. may be the top consumer of oil globally, but only with China in a close second. The Chinese economy has been slowing down and so with that economic shift, the demand for oil has begun to decrease as well. The overall demand for oil has been softening since the spike in U.S. production in 2012. There is also talk circulating around about possibly ending the ban on U.S. oil exports which would help to lower the price of gasoline not only worldwide, but within the country as well. Just as the economy is based on a free market society, the cost of gasoline would continue to drop because it would give overseas drillers the ability and incentive to drill for competitive pricing. What is more, is that American consumers would almost immediately feel the recovery of spending at the pump which has strangled many people’s ability to properly save on fuel costs. If the hurting economy and high oil prices have taught the American consumer anything, it is the desire for motorized freedom at a reasonable price for fuel and fuel consumption.

Should the price of oil continue to drop, the American consumer will be aided for the first time in almost two decades in lower energy costs. In a twist, speculators that are gambling on higher prices will be trapped. A boost in domestic production and an decrease in overall demand for oil may have finally hit the climax, and consumers might be feeling that economic recovery a little sooner than anticipated. In any case, the next couple of years will be exciting. More fuel efficient cars, hybrids and fuel cell cars and an increase in smart fuel consumption may finally be the change and relief desired by all for the last few years.



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How To Short Natural Gas and Profit


An Overview Regarding How To Short Natural Gas and Profit

Short Natural Gas For Selloff
With natural gas hitting five-year highs above $5.75 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), many traders are asking how to short natural gas and profit.  There are a number of ways to short natural gas and profit from a future decrease in natural gas futures prices.  Not all of the natural gas short plays have the same amount of risk; and therefore, traders looking to profit from a decline in natural gas futures prices need to understand the different ways to go short natural gas.  To fully understand the risk and rewards associated with shorting natural gas, traders also need to understand that there is more to changes in natural gas prices than simply seasonal changes in temperatures.

What To Consider When Shorting Natural Gas

Short Natural GasNatural gas price action is often strongly affected by seasonal natural gas trading patterns that provide two opportunities to short and profit from drops in natural gas prices.  The two seasonal opportunities for making money on natural gas on the short side are the spring and fall shoulder seasons.  The spring shoulder season takes hold at some point during the middle of winter to the middle of spring, as demand for natural gas lessens and the natural gas injection season takes over.  The fall shoulder season takes hold at some point during late summer or early fall, as demand for natural gas lessens after summer heat wanes and the natural gas injection season is in full swing.

It is important to understand that shorting natural gas ahead of either of the two shoulder seasons is not a slam dunk profitable trading opportunity.  Abnormal weather patterns, natural gas demand, and natural gas storage levels can affect the onset and outcome of the shoulder seasons.  For example, the winter of 2012/2013 was not abnormally cold, and by the end of February natural gas stood at a price in the $3.90 MMBtu area, which is not elevated by any means and did not provide a good shorting opportunity.  March and April 2013 were abnormally cold months, one of the coldest first halfs of spring on record for many parts of the eastern two-thirds of the United States.  This caused natural gas futures prices to increase approximately 18% to the $4.60 MMBtu area by the end of April 2013, a time when natural gas is typically descending in price due to seasonal factors.  Warm weather finally arrived in May 2013, and natural gas prices responded by dropping back to the $3.70 MMBtu area by the middle of summer.  While money could be made shorting natural gas during the 2013 spring shoulder season, the onset was delayed by two months, which required a multiple-month trading commitment to make money shorting natural gas.

For the 2014 spring shoulder season, the concern is both natural gas storage levels and the possibility that the very cold winter weather will last into the early spring.  The winter of 2013/2014 has been the coldest winter in twenty years for the eastern two-thirds of the United States.  This has caused natural gas storage levels to drop quickly, as two record storage withdrawals were recorded during the 2013/2014 winter.  Natural gas prices responded by shooting above $5.00 MMBtu during February 2014, with a peak in the neighborhood of $5.75 MMBtu.  While this seemingly provides a good opportunity to profit from natural gas by shorting it going into the spring shoulder season, caution is advised.  With weeks of winter left and only tepid signs that the cold wave is abating, additional large natural gas storage withdrawals could cause natural storage levels to fall to such an extent that market participants worry about whether enough natural gas will be available for the following winter season.  This, along with any cooler than normal early spring weather that may materialize, could cause natural gas prices to increase in the early part of the spring shoulder season, and could create a short-squeeze that sends natural gas prices much higher.  Conversely, if warm weather arrives sooner than expected and the spring season comes with normal warm weather temperatures, then demand for natural gas will decline, and the price of natural gas should fall, creating an excellent opportunity to short natural gas and profit, as the price of natural gas falls.

The Different Ways To Short Natural Gas and Profit

There are several different ways to short natural gas and profit.  The purest way to short natural gas is by buying put options on natural gas futures contracts.  This provides direct exposure to natural gas price changes.  If natural gas futures contracts fall in price, put options will increase in price.  For traders that do not engage in buying put options, they can establish a short position in natural gas by either shorting long-oriented natural gas futures Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) or by buying short-oriented natural gas futures ETFs.  These ETFs come in a variety forms, with exposure on the long and short side at one to three times the movement of natural gas futures.
Short Natural Gas and Profit

The advantage of going short natural gas by shorting long-oriented natural gas futures ETFs is that ETFs that derive their value from futures contracts often experience price decay over time, as they have to continuously replace their positions in futures contracts as the front-month contracts expire, which can cause them to lose small amounts of money each time they have to roll over into a new front-month futures contract.  Shorting long-oriented natural gas futures ETFs takes advantage of this price decay by increasing the downside potential verses short-oriented natural gas futures ETFs.  However, it can be difficult to find long-oriented natural gas futures ETFs shares to short, and if the trade goes in the opposite direction as anticipated, a trader may be hit with a margin call, as the long-oriented natural gas futures ETFs increase in value.

The advantage of going short natural gas by buying short-oriented natural gas futures ETFs is that they are easy to buy.

The following is a list of long-oriented natural gas futures ETFs that can be shorted to profit from a decrease in the price of natural gas futures contracts.

  • 1X Natural Gas Long ETF:  United States Natural Gas (NYSE:  UNG) is a one times (1X) long natural gas ETF.
  • 2X Natural Gas Long ETF:  ProShares Ultra DJ-UBS Natural Gas (NYSE:  BOIL) is a two times (2X) long natural gas ETF.
  • 3X Natural Gas Long ETF:  VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN (NYSE:  UGAZ) is a three times (3X) long natural gas ETF.

The following is a list of short-oriented natural gas futures ETFs that can be purchased to profit from a decrease in the price of natural gas futures contracts.

  • 2X Natural Gas Short ETF:  Horizons BetaPro NYMEX Natural Gas Bear Plus ETF (OTC Pink:  HBNND) is a two times (2X) short natural gas ETF.
  • 2X Natural Gas Short ETF:  ProShares UltraShort DJ-UBS Natural Gas Fund (NYSE:  KOLD) is a two times (2X) short natural gas ETF
  • 3X Natural Gas Short ETF:  VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN (NYSE:  DGAZ) is a three times (3X) short natural gas ETF.

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Seasonal Natural Gas Trading Patterns


The Key To Seasonal Natural Gas Trading

Seasonal Natural Gas TradingNatural gas futures experience unique seasonal trading patterns that provide profitable trading opportunities.  The key to making money from seasonal natural gas trading patterns is to identify the historical trend directions that natural gas futures move in during different times of the year.  Once identified, sensible natural gas trades can be made based on the historical trading patterns, with some additional input regarding the long-term weather outlook and the natural gas supply and demand backdrop.  The historical trends provide trading guidance, while the long-term weather outlook and the natural gas supply and demand dynamics provide clues regarding when to make natural trading buys and sells, and how much risk to take when entering a natural gas trade.

Seasonal Natural Gas Trading Patterns

Seasonal Natural Gas Trading PatternsThe following are the four seasonal natural gas trading patterns that provide opportunities to make money trading natural gas futures or Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that derive their value from natural gas futures prices.  Keep in mind that these seasonal trading patterns do not always play out as expected, due to the many factors that affect natural gas prices; however, more often than not, the seasonal natural gas trading patterns do occur as expected and provide money making opportunities for those that trade natural gas.

  • Mid to Late Fall to Mid-Winter / Early Spring (Up Trend) – Natural gas futures typically bottom out in price during the middle to late fall in October or November, and then begin a long up trend in price, as cold weather takes hold, which causes demand for natural gas that is in storage for the heating season.  If the weather is colder than normal and/or natural gas supplies are tight, then the up trend can be quite significant.
  • Mid-Winter / Early Spring to Early Summer (Down Trend) – Natural gas futures typically top out in price during the middle to late winter, anywhere from January to March, depending upon when the coldest weather occurs and how much natural gas is in storage to meet heating demand.  Natural gas then enters the first “shoulder season” during the spring, as demand slackens and producers start to inject natural gas into storage.  Natural gas prices typically fall during the spring, as demand is weak and supply is plentiful, although the month of April is known to buck this trend as natural gas prices often rise in April, due to the rush to refill depleted storage.
  • Early to Mid-Summer (Up Trend) – Natural gas futures typically bottom out in price during the early to middle part of the summer season and begin an up-trend, as demand for natural gas increases from utility customers that use it to generate electricity to meet electricity demands from customers trying to cool their dwellings.  However, the summer has to be hotter than normal across a good portion of the continental United States to cause a significant increase in natural gas futures contracts during this timeframe.
  • Late-Summer / Early Fall to Mid to Late Fall (Down Trend) – Natural gas futures typically peak during the hottest part of the summer, during the months of July or August, and then begin a down-trend as the second “shoulder season” occurs during the fall.  Demand for natural gas is typically weak during this time period and supplies are abundant, which causes natural gas prices decrease until winter heating demand kicks in during the mid to late fall and the cycle starts over again.

ETFs To Trade Seasonal Natural Gas Trading Patterns On The Long Side

The following is a list of ETFs that can be utilized for trading natural gas futures on the long side, when natural gas prices are expected to increase.

  • 1X Natural Gas Long ETF:  United States Natural Gas (NYSE:  UNG) is a one times (1X) ETF that invests in near-month natural gas futures contracts that trade on the NYMEX, which are contracts for the month that is set to expire at the next expiration date and are usually the most actively traded futures contracts.
  • 2X Natural Gas Long ETF:  ProShares Ultra DJ-UBS Natural Gas (NYSE:  BOIL) is an ETF that is designed to deliver daily returns that are two times (2X) the daily performance of the Dow Jones-UBS Natural Gas Sub-index.  The index derives its value from natural gas futures contracts traded on the NYMEX.
  • 3X Natural Gas Long ETF:  VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN (NYSE:  UGAZ) is an ETF that is designed to deliver daily returns that are three times (3X) the daily performance of the S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index ER, which is based upon natural gas futures contracts.

ETFs To Trade Seasonal Natural Gas Trading Patterns On The Short Side

The following is a list of ETFs that can be utilized for trading natural gas futures on the short side, when natural gas prices are expected to decrease.

  • 2X Natural Gas Short ETF:  Horizons BetaPro NYMEX Natural Gas Bear Plus ETF (OTC Pink:  HBNND) is an ETF that is designed to replicate two times (2X) the inverse of the daily performance of the NYMEX natural gas futures contract for the next delivery month.  It is a United States based security that derives its value from Canada based security that trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under symbol HND.TO.
  • 2X Natural Gas Short ETF:  ProShares UltraShort DJ-UBS Natural Gas Fund (NYSE:  KOLD) – The fund seeks to deliver twice (2X) the inverse return of the daily performance of the Dow Jones-UBS Natural Gas Subindex, which derives its value from natural gas futures contracts traded of the NYMEX.
  • 3X Natural Gas Short ETF:  VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN (NYSE:  DGAZ) is an ETF that is designed to deliver daily returns that are three times (3X) the daily performance of the S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index ER, which is based upon natural gas futures contracts.

Words of Caution When Trading Seasonal Natural Gas Patterns

Natural Gas Supply WellSeasonal natural gas trading strategies are fairly reliable, but can be affected by unanticipated supply and demand pressures in the natural gas futures markets due to unseasonable weather that either increases or decreases demand, changes in the economy, and changes in natural gas supply.  Therefore, traders should be aware of the risks associated with trading ETFs that derive there values based on natural gas futures, and understand that considerable losses can be incurred if a natural gas seasonal trade does not work out as expected.  In particular, leveraged ETFs that move at two or three times the amount of the underlying natural gas futures contracts are susceptible to large price swings.  Natural gas ETFs should only be used for short-term trading, rather than long-term investing, since the futures markets can affect long-term performance and returns of these ETFs in a negative way.

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