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Posted on 28 October 2014.
If you are trying to make money in the stock market, you need to understand how to profit from the spike in natural gas prices during the winter season. Natural gas is one of the most volatile commodities that trades in the futures markets. Traders can take advantage of natural gas’ volatility and seasonal price swings to make money on both the long and short side, as natural gas spikes upward going into the winter and then falls in price once winter is over and warm weather arrives.
Those seeking to make money in the stock market can put the volatility in the natural gas markets to work for them by buying Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that are valued based on the price of natural gas futures. Both long and short natural gas tracking Exchange Traded Funds are available, including leveraged Exchange Traded Funds that allow a trader to maximize a long or short natural gas trading position in anticipation in a move in natural gas prices either higher or lower.
What is really intriguing about trading natural gas Exchange Traded Funds is that natural gas prices tend to follow a season trading pattern, which makes it relatively easy to pick buy and sell levels to profit from seasonal fluctuations in natural gas prices. While the seasonal natural gas trade does not always work out as expected, since there are so many variables that affect natural gas prices, the averages are in the favor of natural gas traders that buy and sell natural gas Exchange Traded Funds t certain times of the year following established seasonal trading patterns. This means that a trader’s chances of profiting from the natural gas trade are much better than just guessing which direction natural gas will trade in over the next few months.
The following is an example of the typical seasonal pattern of natural gas prices follow during a typical winter season and how to trade the natural gas price spike that normally occurs during a typical winter.
There is a distinct pattern to natural gas prices when cold air arrives as expected in November and natural gas storage injections turn into storage withdraws, as demand for natural gas for heating picks up. Natural gas will typically trend downward during the early part of the fall season, as storage injections continue because the air over most of the United States is not yet cold to cause a surge in heating demand for natural gas. Sometime in November, usually during the first half of the month, the weather turns cold enough in the United States to cause an uptick in heating demand. At this point, natural gas starts its long winter withdraw season and the price of natural gas typically responds by stabilizing and eventually moving higher. To successfully trade the winter spike in natural gas prices, it is important to build a long position in natural gas as the price bottoms during the fall.
If the weather turns colder than usual in November and natural gas supplies are tight, the price move higher in natural gas can be fast and substantial. Further moves higher in the price of natural gas during the late fall and winter season depend upon how cold the late fall and winter winds up being. Of course, if winter is delayed and the cold air does not arrive as expected, natural gas can remain flat or fall in price, as demand for heating is less than anticipated.
If you are looking to go long natural gas to take advantage of the winter price spike, the following natural gas Exchange Traded Funds can be purchased to obtain long exposure to natural gas futures, in anticipation of an increase in natural gas prices during the winter heating season.
Once the coldest of the winter weather has passed, it is time to start considering building a position in natural gas on the short side. The warmer weather coming out of winter often leads to a sell-off in natural gas futures, which causes inverse natural gas Exchange Traded Funds to increase in price. The full effect of the seasonal sell-off in natural gas futures and most dramatic increase in natural gas short Exchange Traded Funds is often felt later in the summer and early in the fall, as natural gas supplies are rebuilt.
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